Blogging this aboard a train from Wales to London; on my way back from one of the most amazing events I have attended in a long time: DoLectures in Cardigan, Wales (UK); see more details at their blog, here. I was invited to speak on one of my key topics: the switch from EGOsystems to ECOsystems - here is the PDF, below. Video to follow shortly.
Very cool tool - simple and useful. Paper.li organizes links shared on Twitter into an easy to read newspaper-style format. Newspapers can be created for any Twitter user, list or #tag. A great way to stay on top of all that is shared by the people you follow - even if you are not connected 24/7 !
This is a rather lengthy (but worth it, I hope:) 90 minute+ video of my June 23, 2010 presentation on "New Insights: The
Future of Business - trends, future scenarios and key insights" at the
Fundacao Dom Cabral (FDC) in Belo Horizonte, Brazil. The PDF with the slides can be downloaded via this link (30MB PDF); as usual all material is
creative-commons-licensed (attribution required / non-commercial). Topics include: broadband culture and mobility, social media, the link
economy, the culture of participation, open economy paradigms, cloud
computing futures, the network vs the networked, selling 2.0, privacy
and much more. You can download the FDC's STC program description here.
Here is the official event description: "The pace of change is
constantly accelerating, everywhere and across most industries, whether
it's in technology, communications, marketing, media, manufacturing,
services or consumer goods. Disruption is becoming the norm rather than
the exception. B2B relationships are deeply effected, as well, with new
and often challenging standards of openness, transparency, collaboration
and inter-connectivity quickly emerging. The future is likely to
require hyper-collaboration rather than (just) competition, non-linear
thinking, crowd-sourced innovation, and circular business model
innovation"
Wow - this was a marathon presentation on The Future of Media, in Rio de Janeiro, today (pictures of me at Corcovado to follow ;); 2 hours + on pretty much any topic related to the Future of Media: access versus ownership, egosystem to ecosystem, control vs trust, content flat rates, advertising 2.0, privacy, data is the new oil... and much more. There is a lot of good stuff in here, if I may say so myself;) Hopefully you'll agree. We will probably have a video available soon, as well, so... stay tuned. If you are interested in what else I have been doing in Brazil, more talks and videos are here (in particular the Roda Viva video). You can download the PDF via slideshare, below, or just use this low-res PDF version:
Download Future of Media Estacio Rio Public LOW
Everyone: this is a biggie. Check out this video below and the announcement on the Google blog. Here are some quotes from the blog, and some comments from my end:
"Google TV is a new experience for
television that combines the TV that you already know with the freedom
and power of the Internet. With Google
Chrome built in, you can access all of your favorite websites and
easily move between television and the web. This opens up your TV from a
few hundred channels to millions of channels of entertainment across TV
and the web..." My comment: this is the total web-tv convergence, at last, and this development should certainly scare the wits out of most major TV Networks. The gloves are off, guys! So far it has been quite hard to have TV-like, living-room centric experiences using the web; obviously this is just about to change. And the advertising-dollars will migrate along with our viewing (or rather, engagement -) habits! Friction will soon be Fiction, indeed. Welcome to Media as a Service (MaaS); Content in the Cloud: TeleMedia here we come.
"Because Google TV is built on open platforms like Android and Google
Chrome, these features are just a fraction of what Google TV can do. In
our announcement today at Google I/O, we challenged web developers to
start coming up with the next great web and Android apps designed
specifically for the TV experience. Developers can start optimizing their websites for
Google TV today" My comment: Google is betting on OPEN SYSTEMS to win this game, which imho is totally the right move. Yes, there is some room and argument for closed systems (Apple, PS3 etc) but almost all major successes will be fueled by open technologies, interfaces and platforms, i.e. networked and interdependent ecosystems. Going forward future, it's win-win-win-win or nothing (sound familiar?)
"We’re working together with Sony
and Logitech
to put Google TV inside of televisions, Blu-ray players and companion
boxes. These devices will go on sale this fall, and will be available at
Best
Buy stores nationwide" My comment: very smart move by Sony - they missed the boat on digital music, and on ebooks (at least to some extent, I'd say), so this is their chance to catch up.
Mashable has a good summary of the key 'what it means' points, here.
Fresh from the video-baking oven here in Switzerland (yes, unfortunately I had to cancel my speaking engagement in Helsinki - the Volcano thing got in the way;) here are 14 key memes that I think will impact the Future of Business: Web-Native by Default, Mobile First, From Network to Networked, the global Shift to Open Platforms, from Control to Trust, from EgoSystem to ECOSystems, from Walled Gardens to Jungles, the ubiquitous Shift to the Cloud, from monetizing Friction to monetizing Engagement, from GUI to NUI, from Yes | No to Maybe, from Linear Logic to Fuzzy Logic, the Shift to new Qualifications (Education 2.0) and the growing emphasis on Foresight. Enjoy. Spread the word.
Want more videos? Go to Gerdtube (or just download all of them, via iTunes)
I just ran across this great video from Scholz & Friends via Twitter and Linked (hat tip to Frank Tentler): "Companies, marketers and advertising agencies are facing a
dramatic shift in marketing reality - and are increasingly failing to
connect with consumers. The big challenge in times of exchangeable
products, the rise of social media and mature and rather brand skeptic
consumers: To find new ways how to get people engaged again in
products, advertising and in brands...." A lot of bottom-lines in here - check it out!
It was a great pleasure to be invited to contribute to the Sao Paulo / Brazil-based Fundacao Dom Cabral's innovative CEO leadership program, led by my colleague and Swiss-Brazilian collaborator and leadership guru Didier Marlier, as a visiting professor. Below is a fairly large and long (95 pages - do not print!!) slideshow with most of the important stuff I presented; needless to say this was not the usual 45-60 minute session but took pretty much the entire afternoon. I was extremely impressed with the organization and their hosts (FDC / Dalton Sandenberg) as well as with the fast and agile minds of the CEOs that attended - we had some very inspiring conversations. And Caipirinias, too;). Update: Low-res download of PDF here: PDF 11.5 MB Open Network Economy Gerd Leonhard FDC SP Low-res
Enjoy. Share. Retweet. And get my free iPhone app before it turns 'freemium'.
Here is my presentation from the ACTE09 event in Prague, today, where I also had the great pleasure of meeting a very interesting fellow speaker and like-minded 'change agent', Michael Jackson, from South Africa, who served as MC for the whole event.
The topics of my presentation: how mobile and social media trends impact business,
in general, and the corporate travel industry, in particular; how the
social media and mobile Internet explosion is resulting in
unprecedented changes in communications and commerce. The need to
reduce CONTROL to get more SHARE is evident... but how can this be done
within large organizations? How can social media add value, and what
are the risks?
Another quite ingenious, somewhat obvious-yet-still-missing-until-now innovation by Google was just announced: Google Fast Flip. I totally agree with Scott Karp over at the Publishing2.0 blog who blogs: "Google knows a lot about the future of news — more than many publishers. It’s evident in Google’s new product, Fast Flip, which allows news consumers to “flip” through news stories. What’s striking about Fast Flip is that Google is innovating precisely where publishers used to lead innovation..." Totally spot-on: why did this rather obvious idea not come the publishers, themselves? Where is their in-house innovation? I guess one reason is that many publishers don't seem to want to actually collaborate with each other... or am I wrong?
I test-drove Fast Flip, myself, and it really adds good value if you are not searching for complex stuff (since many magazines aren't indexed yet, I guess?) So what about the money? eCommerceTimes reports: "For the first time, Google is sharing ad revenues from advertisements
served up alongside the stories, and the company says it hopes the
service will help increase traffic at those sites. Previously, Google paid only wire services for content. "We think publishers who participate in Google Fast Flip will
benefit in the form of additional exposure, Web traffic and revenue,"
said Google spokesperson Chris Gaither. "That additional traffic offers
another opportunity for a publisher to win loyal readers and show ads
if they'd like. While it's too soon to tell if Fast Flip will graduate from Labs
status, the company is may allow publishers to embed the Fast Flip
technology on their own Web sites in the future, Gaither told the
E-Commerce Times..."
2 key points: a) sharing ad revenues from ads served ALONGSIDE the stories (this is new, and crucial), and b) participating publishers benefit of additional exposure, web traffic and revenue (i.e. all three benefits are to be considered -- this is not just all about immediate cash revenue sharing. This is crucial, imho).
Scott Karp has another nugget in that really drills down to the bottom line: "In digital media, on the web, the news package is now a function of
software — which is why Google is innovating precisely where publishers
are not. Fast Flip is, more accurately, an
attempt to create a new UI for news — a better way to consume
publishers’ content than publishers provide on their own sites"
A bit more from eCommerceTimes: "It's not perfect, and it won't solve the advertising crisis in traditional publishing, but Google's
Fast Flip news-viewing product may represent a small step toward helping pen-and-paper publishers make a profitable leap to the digital age.Google rolled out Fast Flip on Monday as an experimental Labs product. It allows users to slide through tiled screenshots of news stories from the service's three dozen partner publishers. Clicking on a screenshot -- the service uses screenshots to speed
loading times -- brings up a larger view that allows readers to flip
screens from story to story, almost as if reading a newspaper or
magazine. A second click on the screenshot takes the reader to the publisher's site..."
I'll make this brief since I am at the NRT lounge going back to ZRH in an hour. Here are some of the key trends for the immediate Future of the Content Industries that I wanted to share with you.
Pre-Web Content Economics: Consumers. Scarcity. Centralized. Computer = Internet Access. Professionals only. Everyone watching the same thing. Friction generates a nice flow of $. Total Control is crucial. EGOsystems. Content is King. Exclusive Copyright. Content Monopolies, Rights Cartels and Oligopolies. Enforcement. Push. The large Networks rule. Walled Gardens bear fruit. Near-time Web & Database Search. Marketing = Monologs: Listen to Me. Consumers trusting Companies. Advertising = Interruption. Privacy = 'On' by Default. Mass-Media Rules. Broadcasting. All stuff is on my Machine. Pay Cash or Leave. Free = Bad. Distribution = Power. Power = Money.
Web-Native Content Economics: Users & Followers. Abundance creates new Scarcities... of Attention. Everything is decentralized. Mobile = default Internet Access. Professionals, prosumers, usators, users... all at the same time. Utter Fragmentation. Friction is Fiction. Trust is crucial (i.e. Money). ECOsystems & Interdependence. ConTEXT is King. New Usage Rights & Ubiquitous Licensing. Open Content Platforms. Engagement. Pull & Attraction Economy. Networked not Networks. Walled gardens wither. Real-time Web & Social Search. Marketing = Conversations: Listen to each other, then talk. Trusting People Like Me. Advertising= Engagement. Privacy = 'On' is an action I must take. Mass-Niches Rule. Narrowcasting. All my stuff is in the Cloud. Pay with Attention (and Cash). Freemium=Good. Influence = Power. Power = Money - and many other kinds of rewards.
Some of you may know that I went to Berklee College of Music ('86/'87) and studied Jazz guitar. I have kept in-touch with Berklee throughout the years and they just published an interview with me, in the Alumni Magazine"Berklee Today". Here are some of the high-lights:
"Leonhard has long advocated a shift from tight
control of products and copyrights. In what he refers to as the "link
economy," the new commodity is the public's attention. In this climate,
he predicts superstar status will be much harder to attain-and
sustain-as the marketplace experiences further fragmentation and
mainstream artists compete for attention with lesser-known artists in
specific musical niches..."
"In the link economy, the product is the
marketing," says Leonhard. "If you want to promote yourself as a
musician, you publish and make everything available on the Web so that
people can pick it up and go elsewhere with it. If they like you, they
do the marketing for you by telling others and sending links around. In
the old days, if you were a star, MTV or the Letterman Show
would recognize that by putting you on. Today, your fans recognize your
value and send your links to friends, who send them to more people.
This is what makes someone a celebrity on the Web. And you can't buy
that; you have to earn it."
Too many musicians believe that playing gigs
and selling CDs or digital copies of their music are the primary ways
to make money. "We have to do away with that mentality, because there
are 50 other ways a musician can get paid," says Leonhard. "In the new
music economy, you need to build an audience and energize them to act
on your behalf and forward your music virally. Later, they can become
paying customers. Don't ask them for their money first. Once fans are
sold on you, you'll be able to 'upsell' them special shows, backstage
passes, webcasts, a live concert download, a multimedia product, your
iPhone application, a premium package for $75.
"When musicians start thinking of themselves as brands, like Nike, they
will see that they have more assets than just the zeroes and ones that
people can download. Other assets are their creativity, the way they
express what they experience, their performance, and their
presentation. As a musician and composer, you stand for something. The
Web allows you to publish things that showcase who you are and what you
do. In 10 minutes of clicking around on your site, people will be able
to understand who you are if you've put enough out there. Even in a time when many have predicted doom and gloom in the music
business, Leonhard is optimistic. "Current developments are good news
for the artist-provided he or she is good. You have to be different,
unique, and honest; have a powerful persona; and know your brand. If
what you are doing is real and you are forthright, people will pay you.
It's all about the creator and the person who wants the music.
Musicians of the future will do well if they can view themselves as
more than someone who wants to be a star and sell a lot of records."
This is the Drop.io streaming version of my talk at Google San Francisco "The End of Control and the Future of Content", see my previous blog post for more details and the PDF. Bottom Lines: The fight for Control was
a fight for Distribution. The flight for Attention is a fight for
Trust. The beneficiaries of Control were Monopolies. The beneficiaries
of Trust are those that Collaborate. Advertising 2.0:
Information becomes Conversation. Interruption becomes Engagement.
Annoyance becomes Entertainment. 'This is an Ad' becomes 'This is
Content'....
The Youtube Video is here (unfortunately not in very good quality). Download the MP3
Guy Kawasaki's Alltop is a great way to tap into the flow of the best blogs and their RSS feeds from all over the web, without having to use a feed-reader. As an example, check out my Alltop recommendations; these are constantly updated via RSS and work great on the iPhone as well. Just click on a topic or header to bring up the new page with the content. Louis Gray provides more good tips on the iPhone mobile AllTop experience, here, but this is what I do:
Go to the mobile version of the Alltop page that you want to use (such as mine, here)
Click on any link that interests you
The link will open in Safari which is not so great because of the all the zooming and formating you'll need to do to read the webpages (unless they are mobile-optimized already), therefore:
Sign up for the great (and free!) Instapaper which offers one of the best iPhone apps that allows you to read web-pages offline after you bookmark them. Install the app on your iPhone (the Pro version is much better, btw, and only costs a few $), then be sure you install the bookmark link in your Safari browser (follow these instructions using your iPhone) - it's a bit geeky but hey... even I did it!
Now, when you bring up a new web-page that you want to read without zooming and fooling around in Safari you can just add it to your 'Instapaper Unread' items by clicking on the bookmarker
Bring up the Instapaper app, update, and read the article (which certainly beats Safari on the iphone, hands-down)
Keynote Speaker, Think-Tank Leader, Futurist, Author & Strategist, Idea Curator, some say Iconoclast | Heretic, CEO TheFuturesAgency, Visiting Prof FDC Brazil, Green Futurist
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